#645
The House Always Hedges
The smartest political bet in Washington right now is a market-neutral one. You fund a group on the left, fund a group on the right, and you come out ahead no matter who wins. The crypto industry figured this out first. Which is a bit embarrassing for Wall Street, given that hedging is their invention, and they're only now copying it.
Since the Financial Crisis, the banks’ political strategy had been to keep quiet. They were the piñata of bipartisan rage, and the smart money said play dead. Then a sector they'd spent years dismissing out-organized them. Fairshake became the biggest single-issue super PAC ever, spending $135 million across dozens of races in 2024, and got more than two dozen of its candidates onto the committees that now write crypto law. The banks noticed once it started costing them, in this year's fight over whether crypto firms can pay savers a yield on stablecoins.
So they've copied the model. The eight largest US banks have set up the American Growth Alliance. Since December, it has pushed about $100 million into two nonprofits, one leaning left and one leaning right, running ads in half a dozen states. Wall Street has decided the responsible move is to behave exactly like the upstarts it spent years lecturing.

Portfolio News
Flutterwave partners with blockchain network Tempo to cut costs on African payments - The deal aims to use stablecoins to speed up cross-border transfers and reduce fees that have long burdened businesses and families sending money across Africa. Read more
Swedish fintech Anyfin selects regtech Fourthline to enhance ID verification across European markets - By integrating Fourthline’s solutions, Anyfin aims to maintain high compliance standards without compromising the user experience for individuals seeking more transparent and fair lending options. Read more
Plaid and Fin deliver AI-powered support for bank account linking - For FinTechs, lenders, banks and credit unions, bank connectivity is central to the customer experience. When customers can’t complete a connection during onboarding, payouts or purchases, they are likely to abandon the task if can’t be quickly resolved. The Fin AI Agent integration with Plaid is designed to surface the right action at the right moment, without the customer leaving the conversation. Read more
The House Always Hedges
NYC bar uses prediction markets to hedge against a new financial risk: A Knicks victory - Wall Street investors use financial derivatives to hedge against shifts in interest rates and exchange rates. Farmers use them to lock in the price of their crops. Now, one New York City bar is using Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-markets platform, to hedge against another kind of risk: The possibility that the New York Knicks will prevail on Wednesday when they face off against the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 of the 2026 NBA Finals. Read more
Galaxy establishes prediction market OTC derivatives desk - Galaxy Digital has launched a trading desk to offer large investors access to prediction markets via over-the-counter derivatives. Galaxy is betting that thin liquidity and wide bid-ask spreads on political and economic event contracts will make doing business over the counter more enticing for hedge funds and other institutional investors. Read more
Industry News
Coinbase said to be looking into participating new stablecoin platform backed by Stripe, Visa, Mastercard - Stablecoins, one of the busiest areas of crypto, have become a focal point for the large card networks and payments players. The total stablecoin market cap is about $325b, according to CoinGecko data. The market is dominated by Tether's USDT, at $115b. Read more
Private equity looks to consolidate HOA management companies - The industry attracts investors with its stable cash flows and low overhead, but faces challenges from its local nature and refragmentation. U.S. HOA managers were worth $53.9b in 2024, but the two largest companies account for only 11% of the market. Read more
Pre-IPOs are launching on Coinbase, starting with SpaceX - Coinbase now offers pre-IPO perpetual futures, giving eligible traders outside the US price exposure to private companies before they go public. THe first listing is the SpaceX Pre-IPO Perpetual Future: USDC-settled, 24/7, no expiry. When SpaceX IPOs, it automatically transitions to the SpaceX Perp with no rollover needed. Read more
Coinbase invests in Ethena via open market purchase of ENA, flags new partnership - Coinbase Ventures said Tuesday it has invested in Ethena after purchasing ENA tokens on the open market. Ethena said the two companies have also become partners "to grow onchain finance and savings products." Coinbase mentioned a "closer partnership" that included Circle's USDC stablecoin, according to a social media post. Read more
Revolut plans 2027 US bank launch with stablecoin services built in from day one - The entity will be called Revolut Bank US, N.A. and headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, with a second office in New York. Product scope spans FDIC-insured checking and high-yield investment accounts, multi-currency deposits, stock and crypto trading, and stablecoin access on a single platform. Read more
The home-insurance coin flip: nearly half of claims result in zero payout - Several factors are driving nonpayment rates higher, according to industry analysts and executives. Prime among them: Insurers are responding to a yearslong run of postpandemic losses in their home-insurance businesses by getting tougher on claims. Read more
JPMorgan, Citi and big banks plan new tokenized deposit system to answer crypto - The Clearing House, co-owned by major commercial banks, will operate the network, connecting traditional payments with digital asset infrastructure. Tokenized deposits retain existing credit risk, regulatory expectations and accounting treatments, keeping funds within the banking system. Read more
Hedge fund targets Ferrari owners in private credit exotics boom - Fasanara Capital is starting a platform to finance vintage, racing and classic cars made by luxury brand Ferrari. The initiative is part of a push by private credit lenders into alternative finance, including assets backed by everything from fine wine to music royalties and football players’ transfer fees. Read more
The home-insurance coin flip: nearly half of claims result in zero payout - The five biggest home-insurers as a group didn’t pay out on more than 44% of claims resolved last year, forcing homeowners and renters to fund repairs out of their own pockets, an analysis by The Wall Street Journal found. The risk that a claim will result in no payment among the group—State Farm, Allstate, Liberty Mutual, United Services Automobile Association and Farmers Insurance—shot up from 36% a decade earlier, according to the analysis. Read more
Select Financings
Bayshore - Munich based agentic AI platform for legal and compliance tasks raised $8m in Seed funding led by Earlybird Venture Capital. Read more
Cense - Switzerland based crypto compliance platform raised €6.5m in Seed funding led by G+D Ventures and Rabo Investments. Read more
Daloopa - New York based financial data provider to enhance investment research workflows and AI capabilities raised $47m in Series C funding led by Brighton Park Capital. Read more
Findigs - New York based AI-native leasing decisioning platform raised $32m in Series C funding led by RPM Ventures. Read more
Flexprice - Bengaluru based open-source billing and metering platform for AI companies raised $1.5m in Seed funding led by Shastra VC. Read more
Fonoa - Dublin based tax automation platform raises $110m in Series C funding led by Headline. Read more
Forage - San Francisco based payments infrastructure company that enables merchants to accept government benefits raised $40m in Series B funding led by Mouro Capital. Read more
Gradient Labs - London based builder of AI agents to automate customer operations for financial services raised $26m in Series A extension funding led by Octopus Ventures and CommerzVentures. Read more
Handshake - London based AI-powered retail agreement platform raised $3.2m in new funding led by Triple Point Ventures. Read more
HLRBO - Minnesota based online marketplace for hunting leases raised $2.5m in new funding led by Mairs & Power Venture Capital. Read more
Iconic - Los Angeles based tech-enabled M&A advisory firm raised $6m in new funding led by Expa, Oceans Ventures, and Fluent VC. Read more
Innovorder - Paris based provider of restaurant management tech raised €20m in new funding led by UL Invest. Read more
Kpler - Brussels based provider of data and analytics for global commodities markets raised $1b in funding led by Sixth Street. Read more
Offroad - New York based agentic identity security company raises $7m in Seed funding led by Ibex Investors and Skywell Capital. Read more
Paypercut - Bulgaria based payments infrastructure platform for Central and Eastern Europe raised €5m in Seed funding led by Concentric, Passion Capital, and Araya Ventures. Read more
Ramp - New York based financial operations platform raised $750m in Series F funding led by ICONIQ, GIC, and OTTP. Read more
Scotch - Denver based POS platform for liquor retailers raised $20m in Series A funding led by VMG Partners. Read more
Tilt - London based developer of a live shopping auction app raised $26m in new funding led by Vinted Ventures, TQ Ventures and Balderton Capital. Read more
Zazume - Barcelona based rental lifecycle digitization platform raised €2.5m in Series A funding led by Nordstar and GTV Capital. Read more
ZERODRIFT - New York based AI-powered compliance and data governance platform raised $10m in Seed funding led by a16z speedrun, Reign Ventures and others. Read more
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