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Cutting (edge) Research
AI to human workers have always acted as a double-edged sword, but are today becoming a reality for some. On Wall Street, equity research - a department already under pressure - is now seeing the entrance of tools like AI-powered analyst chatbots. In and outside of financial institutions that house equity research departments, innovation is happening to make analysts’ jobs more efficient and serve clients more seamlessly.
Compared to the post financial crisis peak, equity research divisions overall have seen headcounts drop by over 30%, according to Bloomberg. Compensation has also remained stagnant, in part due to the flow towards passive investing (like ETF trackers) away from active investing. The other part, however, is related to regulation. MiFID II in the UK and the EU forces buyside clients to segregate paying for research from other markets related services like trading.
The thinning out of research analysts have wider consequences on the financial investment community. As fewer analysts cover more stocks, in-depth analysis and constant updates become more difficult for analysts and their clients. Alternatively, stocks get dropped from coverage lists, which then negatively impacts the number of investors who find interest in them. This could in turn thin liquidity in a name and create market inefficiencies.
In this newest wave of AI innovation, investment banks are exploring AI-led chatbots that could help answer client questions, pull data from available sources and more. This could be a threat and a gift to the thinly-spread equity research analyst community. On the one hand, it could allow them to cover more names with freed-up capacity from chatbots. On the other, a chatbot that is “too good” might just replace their jobs one day. Under the strain of the industry, some former analysts have already turned to social media as bloggers or financial influencers, hoping they’ll appeal this time to the masses.
Portfolio News
Octane grows originations by 36% to more than $1.6b in record-breaking year - The company had a record-breaking year, exceeding its originations targets, expanding its product offering and markets served, diversifying its capital markets strategy, and strengthening its leadership team. Read more
Cutting (edge) Research
Does investment research make sense in the age of AI? - The late Byron Wien, a prominent markets strategist of the 1990s, defined the best research as a non-consensus recommendation that turned out to be right. Could AI pass Wien’s test of worthwhile research and make the analyst job redundant? Or at the very least increase the probability of a recommendation to be right more than 50% of the time? Read more
How analyst job cuts on Wall Street are reshaping equity research - Forces like regulation, passive investing and AI have all conspired to squeeze equity research in ways few could have imagined. Countless “sell-side” analysts have had to reinvent themselves as a result. Read more
Industry News
Private equity wants your retirement funds - The groups want tax-deferred contribution plans such as 401ks to be able to invest in a whole range of unlisted investments: leveraged buyouts, low-rated private loans and illiquid property deals, DD’s Antoine Gara reports. Executives told the FT that deregulating would allow their funds to access at least as much in assets as the sovereign wealth funds, pensions and endowments that have traditionally backed the world’s largest groups. Read more
Economic loss from wildfires could top $50b, making it one of the costliest U.S. natural disasters - The destruction caused by the Los Angeles-area wildfires, possibly the worst ever in California, is almost certain to rank as one of the most costly natural disasters in U.S. history, with the total economic toll well into the tens of billions of dollars. Experts at Moody’s also said that they expected the insured losses stemming from the L.A. County fires to run in the billions of dollars given the high value of properties in coastal Pacific Palisades, where the first blazes broke out on Tuesday. Read more
Meme coins with AI, explained - Meme coins with a chat bot attached — AI agent coins — have been blowing up and serves as a real (ish)-world experiment with giving AI agents actual responsibilities. With an AI large language model, a digital coin can be attached to a character or a mood, and it can seem to be alive, responding to its fans on social media or in Telegram chats — in character. Read more
New rules will ban medical debt from your credit report - The CFPB has estimated that the new credit reporting rule will boost the credit scores of people with medical debt on their credit reports by an average of 20 points. But the agency's efforts to restrict medical debt collections have drawn fierce pushback from the collections industry. And the new rules will almost certainly be challenged in court. Read more
Reflections: Sam Altman blog post - In a blog post written earlier this week, Sam Altman talks about the progress made by OpenAI, how rapidly AI technology is advancing, and how important it will be for the workforce going forward. Read more
Europe can still win in AI despite US dominance, says Skype co-founder - Niklas Zennström, one of Europe’s most successful tech entrepreneurs and investors, believes the continent’s start-ups can still succeed in artificial intelligence despite their huge funding gap with US rivals. European start-ups can thrive by developing applications that are built on top of AI platforms run by US-based companies such as OpenAI or Google, Zennström told the Financial Times. Read more
Paychex to acquire competitor Paycor HCM - Paychex said the board of directors of both parties approved the transaction in an agreement that prices each Paycor share at $22.50, which represents a ~19% premium. Paycor, which serves over 49,000 clients, and supports about 2.7m employees across the U.S., has invested in data and artificial intelligence since going public in 2021, Paychex said. Read more
A path forward for Europe to compete on the internet - Mario Draghi’s assessment of EU competitiveness last year highlighted Europe’s failure to capitalise on the internet revolution. Over the past two decades, Silicon Valley’s runaway tech sector has accounted for most of the difference between US and European productivity growth. Read more
SBI Holdings reportedly set to acquire majority stake in Solaris as part of new funding round - Japanese financial heavyweight SBI Holdings is reportedly set to acquire a majority stake of more than 70% in embedded finance platform Solaris as part of the German firm’s latest fundraising round, according to Bloomberg. The report prices the stake at about €100m, adding that Solaris will also raise a further €50m from German exchange group Boerse Stuttgart and unnamed existing investors for a total of around €150m in funding. Read more
Too many Sir Humpreys are stopping London from taking a punt - John Gunn, one of Britain’s most successful private investors, wants the government to appoint a royal commission to examine why Britain fails to back enough promising start-ups. While the City debates whether banks should be allowed to assume more risk, Miles Celic, chief executive of TheCityUK, a financial services sector lobbying group, recently told the Commons Treasury select committee that officials should stop regulating “for risk and not for growth”. Read more
Select Financings
Anatomy Financial - California based financial automation tools provider for the health care industry raised $19m in Series A funding led by Canapi Ventures. Read more
Buk - Chile based HR tech company raised $50m in Series B funding led by Headline. Read more
Dataships - Ireland based regtech startup raised $7m in Series A funding led by Osage Ventures Partners. Read more
Endowus - Singapore based digital wealth advisory raised $17.5m in new funding led by Prosus Ventures. Read more
Fazeshift - San Francisco based AI agent for accounts receivable raised $4M in Seed funding led by Gradient. Read more
Jan3 - Decentralized bitcoin wallet developer raised $5m in Seed funding led by Fulgur Ventures. Read more
JeelPay - Saudi Arabia based BNPL company raised $6.6m in Series A funding led by Joa Capital. Read more
Jones - New York based insurance verification startup raised $15m in Series B funding led by NewSpring Capital. Read more
Mili - Texas based AI meeting documentation platform for wealth management firms raised $2m in Seed funding led by Chiratae. Read more
Nomupay - Ireland based unified payments company raised $12m in new funding led by Endeit Capital. Read more
OnPay - Atlanta based payroll and benefits startup raised $63m in Series B funding led by Carrick Capital Partners. Read more
Parsyl - Denver based supply chain insurer raised $20m in Series C funding led by The Lightsmith Group. Read more
SoSoValue - Singapore based investment research platform raised $15m in Series A funding led by Hongshan. Read more
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